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Value Acca Fri 29 May

Biggest edges on the board, any market. The pure +EV play.

05

Value Acca

Biggest edges on the board, any market. The pure +EV play.

+24.7% edge
Combined
171.36
Returns · 10
1713.6
Real chance
0.7%

2 legs that all clear our 5% edge threshold. Fair combined price is 137.443, books offer 171.36 — a +24.7% combined edge. Real chance of landing is 1%, expected return on a 10-unit stake is +24.7% over fair. We only ship this if the maths agrees.

  1. SE Palmeiras SP vs Chapecoense SC Chapecoense SC Win · 1xbet +16.8% edge Chapecoense SC Win: fair price is 11.642 (true chance 9%). 1xbet pays 13.6 — a +16.8% edge across 6 books.
    13.6
  2. HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn Win · 1xbet +6.7% edge IFK Mariehamn Win: fair price is 11.81 (true chance 8%). 1xbet pays 12.6 — a +6.7% edge across 6 books.
    12.6

Why these legs

1

SE Palmeiras SP vs Chapecoense SC

Chapecoense SC Win at 13.6 with 1xbet

Pooling odds from 6 of our six books and stripping the 5.8% overround leaves a fair price of 11.642 — a true 8.6% chance. 1xbet is paying 13.6, which is a +16.8% edge over fair. That’s why this leg made the cut.

2

HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn

IFK Mariehamn Win at 12.6 with 1xbet

Pooling odds from 6 of our six books and stripping the 7.4% overround leaves a fair price of 11.81 — a true 8.5% chance. 1xbet is paying 12.6, which is a +6.7% edge over fair. That’s why this leg made the cut.